Friday, June 15, 2007

What happens when people debate in good faith...

To my surprise, I have found a global warming skeptic with a cogent idea how to attack the problem. I like it, and I think ideas such as his could be the outcome once the shouting and fingerpointing becomes boring (and many of us are pretty much there already).

His idea - while hard to summarize briefly - is a carbon emissions tax with a rate set by the actual evidence of global warming. The more proof - the higher the tax, in short.

Global-warming activists would like this. But so would skeptics, because they believe the models are exaggerating the warming forecasts. After all, the averaged UAH/ RSS tropical troposphere series went up only about 0.08C over the past decade, and has been going down since 2002. Some solar scientists even expect pronounced cooling to begin in a decade. If they are right, the T3 tax will fall below zero within two decades, turning into a subsidy for carbon emissions.

At this point the global-warming alarmists would leap up to slam the proposal. But not so fast, Mr. Gore: The tax would only become a carbon subsidy if all the climate models are wrong, if greenhouse gases are not warming the atmosphere, and if the sun actually controls the climate. Alarmists sneeringly denounce such claims as "denialism," so they can hardly reject the policy on the belief that they are true.

Under the T3 tax, the regulator gets to call everyone's bluff at once, without gambling in advance on who is right. If the tax goes up, it ought to have. If it doesn't go up, it shouldn't have. Either way we get a sensible outcome. [More of a really interesting proposal]

Regardless, I appreciate suggestions for solutions in addition to proof of one position or other.

1 comment:

Brian said...

John, Do you recall what started the "Dust Bowl Years" around 1929 thru the 1930's?____Do you think it was because of Global Warming?

Check with your local PBS station or maybe your Public Library for a book called The Making of a Continent, by Ron Redfern. This was a PBS series.
Check page 152, bottom of the page, the graph showing Global Ice Variations, as well as the next page. Also try Google-ing the "Missoula Floods" that carved the Columbia River Gorge and the Colorado River.

Glaciers move and melt and cause erosion in a massive way, they move to the sea where they encounter saltwater. What happens when we use salt on our frozen sidewalks roads and driveways?, the ice melts. When volcanos erupt the ash can travel around the world several times infact, so how are we going to stop volcanos?

It seems to me we'd better try to stop continental warming first, or NOT!